Odds and maths

Hit frequency (definition and examples)

Hit frequency is how often a round pays anything. See why Sun Temple's 35.98 percent hit rate hides a 10.46 percent chance of beating your bet.

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Hit frequency is the proportion of rounds in which a game returns something. If a slot pays on 30 spins out of 100, its hit frequency is 30 percent. It tells you how often you will see a win on screen, and says nothing by itself about how large the wins are.

It is not the same as RTP. RTP is the total share paid back; hit frequency is how often the paying happens.

The catch: a "win" can be less than your bet

Many games count any payout, even one smaller than the stake, as a hit. That can make a game feel more generous than it is. Sun Temple's published odds show the difference:

Result of one spinChance
No win64.02%
Wins up to 1x your bet25.52%
Wins from 1x to under 2x4.64%
Any win35.98%
A win bigger than your bet10.46%

More than one in four spins shows a win animation but returns no more than the bet, so you end the spin level or behind. Only about one spin in ten leaves you ahead. When you read a hit frequency, ask whether a "hit" means any payout or a profit.

Hit frequency across games

The three-reel Slots game at its low-risk setting pays on about 68 percent of spins, because many small combinations return a fraction of the stake. At the high-risk setting it pays on about 30 percent of spins but has a much larger top prize. Same 97 percent RTP, very different feel. The Wheel makes it plainer: a high-risk wheel pays on 1 segment in 10, a low-risk wheel on 7 in 10.

Common misconceptions

  • "High hit frequency means a loose game." The hits may be tiny.
  • "If a game has not hit for a while, a hit is due." Each spin is independent. See Gambler's fallacy (definition and example).
  • "Hit frequency is on the box, so it is the same as the odds of winning big." The chance of a big win is a separate, much smaller number.

Chances for every result in a Cashout Arcade game are on the Odds page. For how hit frequency, return and swing fit together see Volatility (definition and examples) and Volatility in Casino Games: Why Results Swing.